Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 9.112671e-04 0.001049 0.001188 0.001340 0.001499 0.001662 0.001838
2025-07-06 7.741901e-04 0.000977 0.001190 0.001428 0.001685 0.001951 0.002247
2025-07-13 5.889357e-04 0.000830 0.001094 0.001399 0.001735 0.002090 0.002491
2025-07-20 4.221576e-04 0.000684 0.000983 0.001340 0.001744 0.002178 0.002676
2025-07-27 3.389317e-04 0.000623 0.000962 0.001376 0.001852 0.002371 0.002972
2025-08-03 2.466923e-04 0.000538 0.000903 0.001361 0.001899 0.002493 0.003186
2025-08-10 1.467272e-04 0.000423 0.000796 0.001283 0.001867 0.002521 0.003293
2025-08-17 8.659263e-05 0.000349 0.000734 0.001251 0.001884 0.002601 0.003455
2025-08-24 3.183841e-05 0.000260 0.000638 0.001172 0.001839 0.002607 0.003529
2025-08-31 9.427820e-06 0.000213 0.000597 0.001156 0.001868 0.002696 0.003695
2025-09-07 9.886433e-07 0.000186 0.000580 0.001171 0.001933 0.002824 0.003905
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000141 0.000529 0.001137 0.001933 0.002875 0.004025
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000105 0.000497 0.001142 0.002004 0.003033 0.004298
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000100 0.000522 0.001229 0.002182 0.003323 0.004728
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000061 0.000471 0.001205 0.002216 0.003442 0.004961
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000026 0.000404 0.001152 0.002211 0.003512 0.005137
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000016 0.000396 0.001187 0.002320 0.003720 0.005475
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000004 0.000361 0.001174 0.002365 0.003848 0.005717
2025-11-02 NaN NaN 0.000293 0.001101 0.002325 0.003870 0.005831
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.000254 0.001072 0.002341 0.003959 0.006025
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.000196 0.000998 0.002291 0.003963 0.006114
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.000171 0.000984 0.002323 0.004070 0.006326
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.000161 0.000998 0.002396 0.004227 0.006597